If you put any weight into predictive markets and betting lines, Obama is the clear cut favorite to win the election.
Vegas betting line HERE. You basically have to bet $230 to win $100 on Obama while a $100 bet on McCain will win $160. Predictive market sample is HERE. Democrats get a 60% probability score ... which isn't that strong actually. Lots of good press articles about the NewsFutures crew are available.
- John

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